Does This Poll Mean I Don't Have to Vote?

This week we covered political polling and answered the question - “does this poll mean I don’t have to vote?” (Spoiler alert: No. No it doesn’t.)

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Looking for more info? We’ve got you covered!

https://people.howstuffworks.com/political-polling.htm

https://hbr.org/2016/08/how-todays-political-polling-works

https://www.techrepublic.com/article/numbers-lie-all-the-time-how-political-polls-work/

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/bernard-starr/most-political-polls-repo_b_13606594.html

Here’s some more info about probability theory: https://towardsdatascience.com/basic-probability-theory-and-statistics-3105ab637213 (It’s… complicated. To say the least.)

While the Shy Trump Effect IS real, it actually has its roots in The Bradley (or Wilder) Effect. Here’s some more info on this concept: https://ballotpedia.org/Bradley_effect

Finally, we put a piece of a clip from a Pew Center video in our podcast:

 
 
Kim Moffat